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JFK Case Study

Explore public opinion dynamics from November 1963 through modern analytical methods

Historical Context: November 1963

Key Events Timeline

November 1

South Vietnamese coup against Diem

November 18

JFK's final public speech in Tampa

November 22

Assassination in Dallas

Civil Rights

Civil Rights Act stalled in Congress

Vietnam

16,000 U.S. military advisors deployed

Cold War

Cuban Missile Crisis aftermath

Economy

5.5% unemployment, 4.4% GDP growth

Louis Harris & Associates surveyed a nationally representative sample of likely voters for Newsweek just before JFK's assassination.

57%
Approval Rating
59%
Would vote for JFK over Goldwater
64%
Favored a personal income tax cut

Survey Topics Covered:

JFK's performance
US/Soviet relations
Space program
Civil rights
Economic policy

Interactive Analysis Tools

Explore the data through different methodological lenses

All-or-Nothing

Simulate extreme scenarios—what happens if every respondent shares the same opinion?

Clear effects shown in percentage points
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Fine-Tuning

Adjust distributions incrementally to see how small shifts in opinion affect outcomes.

Explore gradual changes and tipping points
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Non-Response

Simulate how varying response rates might bias key outcome estimates.

Critical tool in low-response environments
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Explore

Analyze relationships in the raw dataset—frequencies, correlations, and crosstabs.

Hands-on data exploration
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Build

Construct your own models and simulators—test hypotheses and explore hidden bias.

From variable selection to causal framing
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All tools use the original 1963 Harris/Newsweek dataset

Ready to uncover insights?

Explore how JFK's approval rating and other key outcomes might have changed.